Daniel Wagner - Giorgio Cafiero


Turkey And Iran’s Growing Alliance


The Turkish Prime Minister’s recent visit to Iran respresents a significant shift in the foreign policy of both countries. The potential opening up of Iran offers both economic and political opportunites for Ankara but both Turkey and Iran have more to gain than lose by continuing to build stronger ties.

The Dangers of a South Sudanese Civil War


The turmoil that erupted in Juba last month threatens to ignite a full scale ethnic civil war. If peace talks fail, a potential genocide may even result.

Is the U.S. Losing Saudi Arabia to China?


Saudi Arabia’s declared foreign policy shift away from the U.S. in favour of China is a genuine cause for concern in Washington although a fully-fledged “divorce” from the U.S. appears unlikely.

Germany’s Arms Sales and the Middle East


A combination of domestic factors and recent geopolitical developments in the Arab world have prompted Germany to become a major arms supplier for the Gulf Cooperation Council states,

Libya’s Radical Muslim Groups


It would be an understatement to say that the National Transition Council (NTC) has failed to govern Libya effectively since the fall of Gaddafi. The majority of territory outside Tripoli has fallen under the control of armed militias that have refused to disarm.

Political Change in the CAR


As was the case in Mali, recent events in the Central African Republic (CAR) have the potential to profoundly impact the dynamics of political change in Africa, where the plethora of failed or failing states provides a ripe breeding ground for extremists to assume power.

Turkey’s Energy Challenges


Ankara will soon be confronted with some difficult foreign policy decisions that could affect its long-term energy interests. The discovery of vast reserves of natural gas off the coasts of Cyprus and Israel could oblige Turkey to resolve longstanding disputes with its neighbours.